By Jerry Tiarsmith, VP Operations, Manufacturing Practices, Inc.
I read an interesting
article. It noted that for the first time China’s Gross Domestic Production
(GDP) exceeded that of the United Sates. My strategic interest in China began
in the mid-1970s. At that time, China ranked amongst the poorest of the world’s
nations, but I believed then that China, a “sleeping dragon,” would emerge as a
formidable foe in the near future.
China forcefully
declared its interest in territorial expansion and regional dominance in 1979
when it invaded Vietnam. Despite overwhelming military superiority, the Chinese
achieved little. If nothing else, the conflict highlighted problems in Chinese
manufacturing: a lack of standardization, poor quality control, and little
understanding of logistics, just to name a few. The Chinese worked hard to
correct those problems. Since then, Chinese military technologies and capabilities
have dramatically improved.
Today, Chinese
companies account for three of the world’s top ten companies by annual revenue.
In contrast, only Wal-Mart (2nd) and Exxon (5th)
represent the US in that group. In 2007, GM led the list, once dominated by the
likes of IBM, GM, and Ford. Apple, the technology darling, occupies the 16th
position while GM slipped to number 23. Regarding trade, the US imports more
than four times the goods from China than it exports. This generates a
tremendous trade imbalance favoring China. China also holds more than $1.23T in
US debt obligations on which it collects significant interest payments. These
hard currency flows from the US help fuel China’s growth and tend to diminish
US domestic growth.
Other reports
note a slow-down in China’s growth rate from a 40-year average of 8% to 7.3%.
America’s recent growth rate remains slightly above 2%. If these numbers
continue, what could we expect in the next forty years? Using simple analytics
(i.e.; the Rule of 72), we extrapolate trends that show China’s economy potentially
doubling every ten years over the next forty years while the US economy doubles
only once in that same time frame. That means that by the year 2054 the Chinese
GDP could approach $240T, greatly dwarfing that of the United States at $30T.
While an
unsavory thought for many, China already wages war against the United States. A
war fought in the realm of intellectual property, on the battlefield of
economics and in cyberspace, and one that the US is losing! Some wounds appear
self-inflicted. American manufacturing suffers, in part, from poorly conceived governmental
policies regarding taxation, trade, regulation, and education. As a result of
those policies, the US hollowed out its manufacturing sector over the past
forty (or more) years, businesses increased off-shoring activities, neglected the
domestic development of critical skills and tradecrafts, and struggled under
costly government-mandated burdens. American manufacturing became less competitive.
This must change!
At
Manufacturing Practices, Inc., we witnessed illiterate, low-wage Chinese
workers taking great pride in the aesthetic quality of the work they produced.
Their work ethic, enthusiasm, and dedication prove commendable. One only has to
recall the mass choreographies of the Beijing Olympics; precision performances by
thousands designed to impress (and, perhaps intimidate) the world. These performances
proclaimed China’s arrival as a major force on the world’s stage, one that
includes industrial production. China uses American universities to help
educate the next generation of Chinese computer literate, techno-savvy, and highly
competitive minded business leaders, the same ones who will ensure China’s global
economic dominance, a position once enjoyed by the United States. Americans
must relearn the lesson that a strong manufacturing base makes for a stronger,
healthier economy and a wealthier, more productive middle class.
This is one
reason why Manufacturing Practices, Inc. assists small- to mid-sized
manufacturing and distribution companies. Our proprietary processes help
C-level management understand and access the hidden value in their ERP systems.
We help clients unlock the ability to enhance the speed and efficacy of
management decision-making through better use of their ERP system. Our proven methods
enable management to implement continuous improvement programs that refine
processes, improve procedures, and empower employees through Lean and other
methodologies. As a result, our clients gain a significant competitive
advantage, leading to increased revenue growth, improved cash flow, and
significant cost reductions. We believe that Operational Excellence comes first
from an effective implementation and deployment of a business management system.
We remain committed to our clients’ successes. This has been the hallmark of
our company since its inception.